Publication detail

Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity

MARTON, D. STARÝ, M. MENŠÍK, P.

Original Title

Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity

Type

journal article in Web of Science

Language

English

Original Abstract

The paper contains a sensitivity analysis of the influence of uncertainties in input hydrological, morphological and operating data required for a proposal for active reservoir conservation storage capacity and its achieved values. By introducing uncertainties into the considered inputs of the water management analysis of a reservoir, the subsequent analysed reservoir storage capacity is also affected with uncertainties. The values of water outflows from the reservoir and the hydrological reliabilities are affected with uncertainties as well. A simulation model of reservoir behaviour has been compiled with this kind of calculation as stated below. The model allows evaluation of the solution results, taking uncertainties into consideration, in contributing to a reduction in the occurrence of failure or lack of water during reservoir operation in low-water and dry periods.

Keywords

Uncertainties; Reliability; Reservoir storage capacity; Monte Carlo method; Mean monthly flows; Evaporation; Elevation–volume curve; Elevation–area curve

Authors

MARTON, D.; STARÝ, M.; MENŠÍK, P.

RIV year

2015

Released

6. 10. 2015

Publisher

De Gruyter Open

Location

DUBRAVSKA CESTA 9, 842 34 BRASTISLAVA, SLOVAKIA

ISBN

0042-790X

Periodical

Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics

Year of study

63

Number

4

State

Slovak Republic

Pages from

287

Pages to

294

Pages count

8

URL

http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/johh.2015.63.issue-4/johh-2015-0036/johh-2015-0036.xml?format=INT

Full text in the Digital Library

http://hdl.handle.net/11012/69346

BibTex

@article{BUT117302,
  author="Daniel {Marton} and Miloš {Starý} and Pavel {Menšík}",
  title="Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity",
  journal="Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics",
  year="2015",
  volume="63",
  number="4",
  pages="287--294",
  doi="10.1515/johh-2015-0036",
  issn="0042-790X",
  url="http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/johh.2015.63.issue-4/johh-2015-0036/johh-2015-0036.xml?format=INT"
}