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PASEKA, S. MARTON, D.
Original Title
Optimal Assessment of Reservoir Active Storage Capacity under Uncertainty
Type
conference paper
Language
English
Original Abstract
In Czechia, climate change is already becoming a reality, and its consequences can be seen in the Czech countryside and landscape, but also in form of water shortages in water supply systems. In Hydrology, the most urgent problem is that the values of the long-term mean flows are decreasing in rivers as well as the yield of groundwater sources. One of the climate change adaptation measures is precise the reservoir capacity and reservoir operation policy in an uncertain condition. That means considered uncertainty analysis as one of important part of reservoir yield analysis. The aims of the paper were to find the optimal active storage capacity of reservoirs for the predetermined temporal reliability under condition of uncertainty of measurement and describe how the uncertainty took into account in the presentation of results. The active storage capacity was determined from the historical series of monthly flows that were affected by uncertainties. Also, the uncertainties were applied on the water evaporation from reservoir, the seepage losses of the dam and morphological volume-area curves. Uncertainties of data inputs were created using the Monte Carlo method. The simulation-optimization reservoir model was developed and temporal reliability as reservoir yield performance measures was applied. The grid optimization method was used in model. Result was presented based on statistical characteristic. The case study was applied to the real open water reservoir, in the Dyje River Basin in Czechia. The result will be whether the dam is resistant to the current conditions, or the optimal design of the active storage capacity of reservoir under conditions uncertainties of measurement.
Keywords
Optimal Assessment of Reservoir; Active Storage Capacity; Uncertainty of Measurement; Temporal Reliability; Monte Carlo Method
Authors
PASEKA, S.; MARTON, D.
Released
30. 6. 2019
Publisher
STEF92 Technology Ltd.
Location
51 Alexander Malinov Blvd., 12, Sofia, Bulgaria
ISBN
978-6-1974-0876-8
Book
Conference Proceedingsc Volume 19
Edition
Water Resources. Forest, Marine and Ocean Ecosystems
Edition number
1
1314-2704
Periodical
International multidisciplinary geoconference SGEM
Year of study
19
Number
3.1
State
Republic of Bulgaria
Pages from
427
Pages to
434
Pages count
8
URL
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2326859088?accountid=17115
BibTex
@inproceedings{BUT157654, author="Stanislav {Paseka} and Daniel {Marton}", title="Optimal Assessment of Reservoir Active Storage Capacity under Uncertainty", booktitle="Conference Proceedingsc Volume 19", year="2019", series="Water Resources. Forest, Marine and Ocean Ecosystems", journal="International multidisciplinary geoconference SGEM", volume="19", number="3.1", pages="427--434", publisher="STEF92 Technology Ltd.", address="51 Alexander Malinov Blvd., 12, Sofia, Bulgaria", doi="10.5593/sgem2019/3.1/S12.055", isbn="978-6-1974-0876-8", issn="1314-2704", url="https://www.proquest.com/docview/2326859088?accountid=17115" }