Publication detail

Analysis of daily average PM10 predictions by generalized linear models in Brno, Czech Republic

HÜBNEROVÁ, Z. MICHÁLEK, J.

Original Title

Analysis of daily average PM10 predictions by generalized linear models in Brno, Czech Republic

Type

journal article in Web of Science

Language

English

Original Abstract

Ambient air quality assessment and management plays an important role in the current European Union policy. Among others, air pollution by PM10 is being monitored. A previous analysis of PM10 (Hrdličková et. al, 2008) aimed at identifying factors affecting air pollution in stations in the City of Brno using available observed meteorological variables. However, the studied model cannot be used for predicting the level of PM10 pollution because the included meteorological variables are not available exactly at the time when the prediction is requested. In that case, we should base the predictions on available predicted variables, namely on temperature, wind direction, wind speed, and cloud cover. A comparison of obtained predictions with the observed values of PM10 during a testing period allows us to evaluate a loss of prediction quality when the predicted covariates are used instead of the observed ones. The presented analysis based on test of symmetry and test of homogeneity of the marginal distribution of two-way contingency tables shows that the loss of prediction quality by employing the predicted meteorological variables is non-significant in the studied case. This observation suggests that the model with predicted meteorological variables can be employed in environmental management processes.

Keywords

PM10, Air pollution, Generalized generalized linear model, Gamma distribution, Prediction

Authors

HÜBNEROVÁ, Z.; MICHÁLEK, J.

RIV year

2014

Released

26. 6. 2014

Publisher

Turkish National Committee for Air Pollution Research and Control

Location

Dokuz Eylul University, Dpt of Environmental Engineering, Buca/Izmir, Turkey

ISBN

1309-1042

Periodical

Atmospheric Pollution Research

Year of study

5

Number

3

State

Republic of Turkey

Pages from

471

Pages to

476

Pages count

6

URL

BibTex

@article{BUT111956,
  author="Zuzana {Hübnerová} and Jaroslav {Michálek}",
  title="Analysis of daily average PM10 predictions by generalized linear models in Brno, Czech Republic",
  journal="Atmospheric Pollution Research",
  year="2014",
  volume="5",
  number="3",
  pages="471--476",
  doi="10.5094/APR.2014.055",
  issn="1309-1042",
  url="http://www.atmospolres.com/articles/Volume5/issue3/APR-14-055.pdf"
}