Publication detail

Demographic and socio-economic factors including sustainability related indexes in waste generation and recovery

Fan, Y.V., Klemeš, J.J., Lee, C.T., Tan, R.R.

Original Title

Demographic and socio-economic factors including sustainability related indexes in waste generation and recovery

Type

journal article in Web of Science

Language

English

Original Abstract

There has been plenty of research on the influence of various socio-economic and demographic data on waste generation to develop effective and targeted waste reduction measures, including energy recovery. This study evaluates the relationship between the waste generation and Circular Material Use rate, Environmental Tax Revenue, and Global Innovation Index beyond the typical socio-economic factors (e.g., gross domestic product or population). Correlation analysis is conducted on the EU-27 datasets before the development of the predictive model. The correlation strength between the factors is discussed to identify the potential rebound effect from the central driver of economic growth and development. A positive correlation and partial rebound effect are identified in the data. The waste amount ending in disposal and energy recovery treatment increases with the Circular Material Use rate, suggesting that the expected gains from Circular Material Use rate are offset by other socio-economic factors such as increasing population or gross domestic product. However, a diminishing trend is observed in the rebound effect over the years. Multiple linear regression with validation is applied to identify the best fit model for predicting waste generation. Using population, gross domestic product, Circular Material Use rate, and Environmental Tax Revenues as independent variables, a model is generated with a mean absolute percentage error of 18.65% (7% lower than the benchmark) and R-2 (coefficient of determination) of 0.995.

Keywords

Waste generation and recovery; sustainability-related indexes; socio-economic factors; statistical learning methods; circular material use rate

Authors

Fan, Y.V., Klemeš, J.J., Lee, C.T., Tan, R.R.

Released

1. 9. 2021

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC

Location

PHILADELPHIA

ISBN

1556-7036

Periodical

Energy Sources Part A-Recovery Utilization and Environmental Effects

Number

September

State

United States of America

Pages count

14

URL

https://www-tandfonline-com.ezproxy.lib.vutbr.cz/doi/full/10.1080/15567036.2021.1974610

BibTex

@article{BUT176303,
  author="Yee Van {Fan} and Jiří {Klemeš}",
  title="Demographic and socio-economic factors including sustainability related indexes in waste generation and recovery",
  journal="Energy Sources Part A-Recovery Utilization and Environmental Effects",
  year="2021",
  number="September",
  pages="14",
  doi="10.1080/15567036.2021.1974610",
  issn="1556-7036",
  url="https://www-tandfonline-com.ezproxy.lib.vutbr.cz/doi/full/10.1080/15567036.2021.1974610"
}