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KARAS, M. REŽŇÁKOVÁ, M.
Original Title
The Distributional Properties of Financial Ratios: The Case of Czech Bankruptcy Data
Type
journal article - other
Language
English
Original Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the distributional properties of financial data, suitable for building a bankruptcy forecast model, in the sense of normality deviation and the existence of outliers. In praxis, financial data in the form of financial ratios is very often not normally distributed. A Shapiro-Wilks procedure was used to test normality (Shapiro, Wilk, 1965) and a Box-Cox transformation (Box, Cox, 1964) for normalizing financial ratios. We would like to contributed to the previous pieces of research in following ways. Firstly, by analysing a greater range of accounting ratios or indicators (i.e. 44), secondly, by focusing on data of a different character (data suitable for building a bankruptcy forecast model), thirdly, by explaining cases in which the parameter l is not possible to estimate, and finally fourthly, identifying a possible cause of transformation failure in achieving normality of financial ratios. Before the transformation none of the analysed financial ratios met the condition of one-dimensional normality, not even on the 1-% level. After transformation, the condition of one-dimensional normality was met, at the 1-% level, by 34% of the analysed financial ratios. The same condition, but at the 5 or 10-% level, was met by 27% of the analysed financial ratios. The parameter l was not possible to estimate in the case of 18% of financial ratios. The condition of normality for untransformed Czech bankruptcy data seems almost as impossible to fulfil. This conclusion implies the use of non-parametric methods, such as artificial neural networks. However, the comparison of the parametric methods performance using untransformed or transformed data is the subject of further research.
Keywords
bankruptcy, financial ratios, outlier detection, normality, data transformation
Authors
KARAS, M.; REŽŇÁKOVÁ, M.
RIV year
2013
Released
8. 4. 2013
Location
Brno
ISBN
1802-8527
Periodical
TRENDY EKONOMIKY A MANAGEMENTU
Year of study
VII
Number
13
State
Czech Republic
Pages from
56
Pages to
67
Pages count
12
BibTex
@article{BUT98983, author="Michal {Karas} and Mária {Režňáková}", title="The Distributional Properties of Financial Ratios: The Case of Czech Bankruptcy Data", journal="TRENDY EKONOMIKY A MANAGEMENTU", year="2013", volume="VII", number="13", pages="56--67", issn="1802-8527" }