Course detail

Risk analysis of structures and processes

ÚSI-2BCSOAcad. year: 2015/2016

Technical aspects of building design risks, their assessment, and risk analysis of buildings. Randomness and reliability engineering. Quality Engineering. Quantification of risk supporting structures, on the basis of probabilistic assessment approaches and methods of partial safety factors. The load, capacity limit state, serviceability limit state. Calculation of fault structures. Data collection and prediction focused on the issue of risk engineering.

Language of instruction

Czech

Number of ECTS credits

6

Mode of study

Not applicable.

Guarantor

prof. RNDr. Ing. Petr Štěpánek, CSc., dr. h. c.

Department

Institute of Forensic Engineering (ÚSI)

Learning outcomes of the course unit

After completing the course the student will be able to navigate independently and carry out basic risk analysis supporting structures.

Prerequisites

Not required.

Co-requisites

Not applicable.

Planned learning activities and teaching methods

Teaching is carried out through lectures and seminars. Lectures consist of interpretations of basic principles, methodology of given discipline, problems and their exemplary solutions. Seminars particularly support practical mastery of subject matter presented in lectures or assigned for individual study with the active participation of students.

Assesment methods and criteria linked to learning outcomes

A condition for granting credit is a semestral work. The test will consist of written and oral parts. Pass the written part successfully is necessary for completing the oral part.

Course curriculum

1. Introduction and definition, design, reliability, safety and risk structures. Portfolio of risks.
2. Risk analysis - the types of risks, risk assessment.
3. Basic concepts of analysis and modelling.
4. Randomness and reliability engineering.
5. Decision-making, expertise and experts.
6. Reliability of structures (and systems), modelling.
7. Examples of application of reliability analysis structure (system).
8. Technical risk analysis - the identification of dangerous phenomena, qualifications danger, risk quantification.
9. Tools to quantify risks (Monte Carlo method, expert methods), applications in building construction.
10. Tools for the quantification of risk (genetic algorithms, artificial neural networks).
11. Definition of uncertainty and sensitivity analysis.
12. Technical aspects of risk problems of structures, optimization.
13. The system of risk management in the organization.

Work placements

Not applicable.

Aims

Basic concept of risk approaches to assess supporting structures, systems approach to risk identification. Effect of study is reflected in the analysis and modelling of problems in the area of risk engineering and the ability to articulate the critical points (identification of dangerous sites) of the project - existing structures.

Specification of controlled education, way of implementation and compensation for absences

Not applicable.

Recommended optional programme components

Not applicable.

Prerequisites and corequisites

Not applicable.

Basic literature

TICHÝ, M.: Ovládání rizika. Ch. Beck, Praha 2006, ISBN 80-7179-415-5
HAIMES, Y. Y.: Risk modeling, assessment and management. John Wiley and sons, 2004, ISBN 0-471=48048
NILSON, A. H., DARWIN, D., DOLAN, CH. W.: Design of Concrete Structures. McGraf-Hill, New York, 2004
FLANAGAN, R., NORMAN, R.: Risk Management and Constructions. Blackwell Science, 1993

Recommended reading

PMBOK Guide. Project management Institute, 2004, 3rd edition
RAIS, K., SMEJKAL,V.: Řízení rizik, Grada, 2004, 274 s., ISBN 80-247-0198-7
DAVIS,L.: Handbook of Genetic Algorithms, Int. Thomson Com. Press, 1991, 385 s., ISBN 1-850-32825-0
TIJMS, H. C.: A first course in Stochastic Models. John Wiley and sons, 2003, ISBN 0-471-49881-5

Classification of course in study plans

  • Programme MRzI Master's

    branch RSK , 2 year of study, winter semester, compulsory

Type of course unit

 

Lecture

26 hod., optionally

Teacher / Lecturer

Ing. Petr Šimůnek, Ph.D.

Syllabus

1. Úvod a vymezení předmětu „Navrhování, spolehlivost, bezpečnost a rizika stavebních objektů“
2. Analýza rizik – umění a věda, hodnocení rizika
3. Základní pojmy z oblasti analýzy a modelování
4. Základní pojmy z oblasti analýzy a modelování - pokračování
5. Náhodnost a spolehlivostní inženýrství
6. Spolehlivost konstrukcí a systémů, tvorba modelů
7. Příklady aplikace spolehlivostní analýzy konstrukce (systému)
8. Analýza technického rizika – identifikace nebezpečných jevů (segmenty a zdroje)
9. Kvantifikace rizika
10. Nástroje pro kvantifikaci rizik (metoda Monte Carlo, expertní metody)
11. Nástroje pro kvantifikaci rizik (genetické algoritmy, umělé neuronové sítě)
12. Definice nejistot a citlivostní analýzy
13. Technické stránky problémů rizik stavebních konstrukcí, optimalizace

Exercise

26 hod., compulsory

Teacher / Lecturer

Ing. Petr Šimůnek, Ph.D.

Syllabus

viz přednášky