Detail publikace

Uncertainty Impact on Water Management Analysis of Open Water Reservoir

MARTON, D. PASEKA, S.

Originální název

Uncertainty Impact on Water Management Analysis of Open Water Reservoir

Typ

článek v časopise ve Web of Science, Jimp

Jazyk

angličtina

Originální abstrakt

The aim of this paper is to use a methodology to introduce uncertainty of hydrological and operational input data into mathematical models needed for the design and operation of reservoirs. The application of uncertainty to input data is calculated, with the reservoir volume being affected by these uncertainties. The values of outflows from the reservoir and hydrological reliability are equally affected. The simulation model of the reservoir behavior was used, which allows to evaluate the results of solutions and helps to reduce, for example, the cost of dam construction, the risk of poor design of reservoir volumes, future operational risk of failures and reduce water shortages during the operation of water reservoirs. The practical application is carried out on the water management analysis of a reservoir in the Czech Republic. It was found that uncertainty of storage volume with 100% reliability achieved ±4% to ±6% values and the subsequent reliability uncertainty is in the value interval of ±0.2% to ±0.3%.

Klíčová slova

uncertainty; open water reservoir; Monte Carlo; reservoir simulation model; reliability; storage volume; reservoir design

Autoři

MARTON, D.; PASEKA, S.

Vydáno

4. 2. 2017

Nakladatel

MDPI AG

Místo

St. Alban-Anlage 66, 4052 Basel, Switzerland

ISSN

2076-3298

Periodikum

Environments

Ročník

4

Číslo

1

Stát

Švýcarská konfederace

Strany od

1

Strany do

14

Strany počet

14

URL

Plný text v Digitální knihovně

BibTex

@article{BUT132795,
  author="Daniel {Marton} and Stanislav {Paseka}",
  title="Uncertainty Impact on Water Management Analysis of Open Water Reservoir",
  journal="Environments",
  year="2017",
  volume="4",
  number="1",
  pages="1--14",
  doi="10.3390/environments4010010",
  issn="2076-3298",
  url="http://www.mdpi.com/2076-3298/4/1/10"
}