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ŠÁLEK, M. BŘEZKOVÁ, L.
Originální název
The Use of Radar in Hydrological Modeling in the Czech Republic Case Studies of Flash Floods
Typ
článek v časopise - ostatní, Jost
Jazyk
angličtina
Originální abstrakt
Flash flood induced by severe convection is the hydrometeorological phenomenon that is very difficult to forecast. However, the implementation of radar measurements, especially radar-based Quantitative Precipitation Estimate (QPE) and/or radar-based quantitative Precipitation Nowcast (QPN) can improve this situation. If the radar is able to capture the development of severe convection and can produce reasonably accurate QPE in short time intervals (e.g. 10 min), then it can be used also with hydrological model. A hydrological model named Hydrog was used for investigation of simulation and possible forecasts of two flash floods that took place in the Czech Republic in 2002 and 2003. The precipitation input consisted of mean-field-biasadjusted or original radar 10-min estimates along with quantitative precipitation nowcasts up to 2 h based on COTREC method (extrapolation). Taking into account all the limited predictability of the severe convection development and the errors of the radar-based precipitation estimates, the aim of the simulations was to find out to what extend the hydrometeorological prediction system, specifically tuned for these events, was able to forecast a the flash floods. As assumed, the hydrometeorological simulations of the streamflow forecasts lagged behind the actual development but there is still some potential for successful warning, especially for areas where the flood hits lately.
Klíčová slova
radar; hydrological modeling; flash flood; meteorological; Hydrog
Autoři
ŠÁLEK, M.; BŘEZKOVÁ, L.
Rok RIV
2006
Vydáno
19. 4. 2006
Nakladatel
EGU
Místo
Paříž
ISSN
1561-8633
Periodikum
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Ročník
Číslo
6
Stát
Spolková republika Německo
Strany od
229
Strany do
236
Strany počet
8
BibTex
@article{BUT43510, author="Milan {Šálek} and Lucie {Březková}", title="The Use of Radar in Hydrological Modeling in the Czech Republic Case Studies of Flash Floods", journal="Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences", year="2006", volume="2006", number="6", pages="229--236", issn="1561-8633" }