Detail publikace

Reconciliation of Decision-Making Heuristics Based on Decision Trees Topologies and Incomplete Fuzzy Probabilities Sets

DOUBRAVSKÝ, K. DOHNAL, M.

Originální název

Reconciliation of Decision-Making Heuristics Based on Decision Trees Topologies and Incomplete Fuzzy Probabilities Sets

Typ

článek v časopise ve Web of Science, Jimp

Jazyk

angličtina

Originální abstrakt

Complex decision making tasks of different natures, e.g. economics, safety engineering, ecology and biology, are based on vague, sparse, partially inconsistent and subjective knowledge. Moreover, decision making economists / engineers are usually not willing to invest too much time into study of complex formal theories. They require such decisions which can be (re)checked by human like common sense reasoning. One important problem related to realistic decision making tasks are incomplete data sets required by the chosen decision making algorithm. This paper presents a relatively simple algorithm how some missing III (input information items) can be generated using mainly decision tree topologies and integrated into incomplete data sets. The algorithm is based on an easy to understand heuristics, e.g. a longer decision tree sub-path is less probable. This heuristic can solve decision problems under total ignorance, i.e. the decision tree topology is the only information available. But in a practice, isolated information items e.g. some vaguely known probabilities (e.g. fuzzy probabilities) are usually available. It means that a realistic problem is analysed under partial ignorance. The proposed algorithm reconciles topology related heuristics and additional fuzzy sets using fuzzy linear programming. The case study, represented by a tree with six lotteries and one fuzzy probability, is presented in details.

Klíčová slova

Decision Tree, Partial Ignorance, Total Ignorance, Reconciliation, Fuzzy Linear Programming, Fuzzy Probability.

Autoři

DOUBRAVSKÝ, K.; DOHNAL, M.

Rok RIV

2015

Vydáno

9. 7. 2015

Nakladatel

PLOS

ISSN

1932-6203

Periodikum

PLOS ONE

Ročník

7

Číslo

10

Stát

Spojené státy americké

Strany od

1

Strany do

18

Strany počet

18

URL

http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4497622?pdf=render

Plný text v Digitální knihovně

http://hdl.handle.net/11012/41998

BibTex

@article{BUT115241,
  author="Karel {Doubravský} and Mirko {Dohnal}",
  title="Reconciliation of Decision-Making Heuristics Based on Decision Trees Topologies and Incomplete Fuzzy Probabilities Sets",
  journal="PLOS ONE",
  year="2015",
  volume="7",
  number="10",
  pages="1--18",
  doi="10.1371/journal.pone.0131590",
  issn="1932-6203",
  url="http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4497622?pdf=render"
}