Course detail

Probability and statistics

FAST-GA03Acad. year: 2013/2014

Random experiment, continuous and discrete random variable (vector), probability function, density function, probability, cumulative distribution, transformation of random variables, marginal distribution, independent random variables, numeric characteristics of random variables and vectors, special distributions.
Random sampling, statistic, point estimation of distribution parameter, desirable properties of an estimator, confidence interval for distribution parameter, fundamentals for hypothesis testing, tests of hypotheses for distribution parameters, goodness-of-fit test.

Language of instruction

Czech

Number of ECTS credits

3

Mode of study

Not applicable.

Department

Institute of Mathematics and Descriptive Geometry (MAT)

Learning outcomes of the course unit

Student will be able to solve simple practical probability problems and to use basic statistical methods for interval estimates, testing parametric and non-parametric statistical hypotheses, and linear models.

Prerequisites

Basics of the theory of one- and more-functions (derivative, partial derivative, limit and continuous functions, graphs of functions). Calculation of definite integrals, knowledge of their basic applications.

Co-requisites

Not applicable.

Planned learning activities and teaching methods

Teaching methods depend on the type of course unit as specified in the article 7 of BUT Rules for Studies and Examinations - lectures, seminars.

Assesment methods and criteria linked to learning outcomes

A student will only receive credit if he or she has attended all the workshops and passes a written test with at least 50-percent success.
An exam with a pass rate of at least 50% will follow. The examination will be only a written one lasting 90 minutes and consisting of 3 practical problems to calculate and one problem with questions about the theoretical background.

Course curriculum

1. Continuous and discrete random variable (vector), probability function, density function. Probability.
2. Properties of probabilty. Cumulative distribution and its properties.
3. Relationships between probabilty, density and cumulative distributions. Marginal distribution.
4. Independent random variables. Charakteristics of random variable: mean and variance,percentiles. Rules of calculation mean and variance.
5. Charakteristics of random vectors: covariance, correlation coefficient. Normal distribution - definition, using.
6. Chi-squared distribution, Student´s distribution. Random sampling, statistic.
7. Point estimate of distribution parameter, desirable properties of an estimator.
8. Confidence interval for distribution parameter.
9. Fundamentals for testing hypotheses. Tests of hypotheses for normal distribution parameters.
10. Goodness-of-fit test.
_____________________
Practice:
1. Empirical probability and density distributions. Histigram. Probability and density distributions.
2. Probability. Cumulative distribution.
3. Relationships between probabilty, density and cumulative distributions.
4. Function of random variable.
5. Calculation of mean, variance and percentiles of random variable. Calculation rules of mean and variance.
6. Correlation coefficient. Calculation of probability in some cases of discrete probability distributions - alternative, binomial, Poisson.
7. Calculation of probability in case of normal distribution. Work with statistical tables. Calculation of point estimators.
8. Confidence interval for normal distribution parametres.
9. Tests of hypotheses for normal distribution parametres.
10. Goodness-of-fit test.

Work placements

Not applicable.

Aims

After the course, the students should undertand the basics of the theory of probability, work with distribution functions, know the meanig and methods of calculation of basic numeric characteristics of random variables and vectors, know how a normal random variable is defined and what is its principal meaning, know how to calculate the probability in special cases of discrete and continuous diostribution laws, know how to determine the distribution of a transformed random variable.
They should be able to interpret the basic concepts of the mathematical statistics - sampling, point estimates of distribution parameters and the reqiured properties of an estimate. They should know what an interval estimate of a distribution parameter is and be able to calculate such inerval estimates of the parameters of a normal random variable. They should know the basics of the testing of statistical hypotheses, know how to test hypotheses on the parameters of a normal random variable and on the shape of a distribution law.

Specification of controlled education, way of implementation and compensation for absences

Extent and forms are specified by guarantor’s regulation updated for every academic year.

Recommended optional programme components

Not applicable.

Prerequisites and corequisites

Not applicable.

Basic literature

KOUTKOVÁ, H., DLOUHÝ, O. Sbírka příkladů z pravděpodobnosti a matematické statistiky. Brno: CERM,2011, 63 s. ISBN 978-80-7204-740-6. (CS)
KOUTKOVÁ, H. Základy teorie odhadu .Brno: CERM, 2007,  51 s. ISBN 978-80-7204-527-3.   (CS)
KOUTKOVÁ, H. Základy testování hypotéz. Brno: CERM, 2007, 52 s. ISBN 978-80-7204-528-0. (CS)
KOUTKOVÁ, H., MOLL, I. Základy pravděpodobnosti. Brno: CERM, 2011, 127 s. ISBN 978-80-7204-738-3. (CS)
KOUTKOVÁ, H.  M03 Základy teorie odhadu a M04 Základy testování hypotéz. FAST VUT, Brno, 2004. [https://intranet.fce.vutbr.cz/pedagog/predmety/opory.asp] (CS)

Recommended reading

ANDĚL, J. Statistické metody. Praha: MatFyzPress, 2007, 299 s. ISBN 80-7378-003-8.  (CS)
WALPOLE, R.E., MYERS, R.H. Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists. New York: Macmillan Publishing Company, 1990, 823 p. ISBN 0-02-946910-4. (EN)

Classification of course in study plans

  • Programme B-K-C-GK Bachelor's

    branch G , 1 year of study, summer semester, compulsory

  • Programme B-P-C-GK Bachelor's

    branch G , 1 year of study, summer semester, compulsory
    branch GI , 3 year of study, summer semester, compulsory

Type of course unit

 

Lecture

26 hod., optionally

Teacher / Lecturer

Syllabus

1. Continuous and discrete random variable (vector), probability function, density function. Probability.
2. Properties of probability. Cumulative distribution and its properties.
3. Relationships between probability, density and cumulative distributions of random variable. Marginal random vector and its distribution.
4. Independent random variables. Numeric characteristics of random variable: mean and variance, quantiles. Rules of calculation mean and variance.
5. Numeric characteristics of random vectors: covariance, correlation coefficient. Normal distribution - definition, using.
6. Chi-square distribution, Student´s distribution. Random sampling, sample statistics.
7. Point estimation of distribution parameters, desirable properties of an estimator - definition, interpretation.
8. Confidence interval for distribution parameters.
9. Fundamentals of hypothesis testing. Tests of hypotheses for normal distribution parameters.
10. Goodness-of-fit tests.

Exercise

26 hod., compulsory

Teacher / Lecturer

Syllabus

1. Empirical distributions. Histogram. Probability and density distributions.
2. Probability. Cumulative distribution.
3. Relationships between probability, density and cumulative distributions.
4. Transformation of random variable.
5. Calculation of mean, variance and quantiles of random variable. Calculation rules of mean and variance.
6. Correlation coefficient. Calculation of probability in some cases of discrete probability distributions - alternative, binomial, Poisson.
7. Calculation of probability for normal distribution. Work with statistical tables. Calculation of point estimators.
8. Confidence interval for normal distribution parameters.
9. Tests of hypotheses for normal distribution parameters.
10. Goodness-of-fit tests.