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BARTOŠÍK, T. RADIL, L. MASTNÝ, P.
Originální název
Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction
Typ
článek ve sborníku ve WoS nebo Scopus
Jazyk
angličtina
Originální abstrakt
The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements. Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.
Klíčová slova
wind power prediction, wind power plants simulation, numerical prediction methods, Autoregressive model, Markov chain, Moving average model
Autoři
BARTOŠÍK, T.; RADIL, L.; MASTNÝ, P.
Rok RIV
2013
Vydáno
20. 5. 2013
Nakladatel
VSB – Technical University of Ostrava
Místo
Ostrava
ISBN
978-80-248-2988-3
Kniha
Proceedings of the 14th International Scientific Conference Electric Power Engineering 2013
Strany od
759
Strany do
762
Strany počet
4
BibTex
@inproceedings{BUT99974, author="Tomáš {Bartošík} and Lukáš {Radil} and Petr {Mastný}", title="Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction", booktitle="Proceedings of the 14th International Scientific Conference Electric Power Engineering 2013", year="2013", pages="759--762", publisher="VSB – Technical University of Ostrava", address="Ostrava", isbn="978-80-248-2988-3" }