Přístupnostní navigace
E-přihláška
Vyhledávání Vyhledat Zavřít
Detail publikace
KARAS, M. REŽŇÁKOVÁ, M.
Originální název
Statistical methods of sales forecasting
Typ
článek ve sborníku ve WoS nebo Scopus
Jazyk
angličtina
Originální abstrakt
The aim of this paper is to present the basic statistical approaches used for sales forecast and the risks resulting from the choosing of the wrong trend. Especially to compare the suitability of linear, parabolic a exponential trend of regression analysis with the same trends of time series methods on the case of real company. The suitability the mentioned trends or methods is based on error functions, the Theils index and the determination index. The results suggest, that the trend choosed by best theorethical value of error function need not to lead to most accurate value in future. The suitability of the used trend can not be view only as a problem of how to best describe the future, but to consider the changes of the business enviroment in the meaning of strategic analysis.
Klíčová slova
Future sales, regression analysis, time series,
Autoři
KARAS, M.; REŽŇÁKOVÁ, M.
Rok RIV
2011
Vydáno
17. 11. 2011
Místo
Iževsk, Rusko
ISBN
978-5-7526-0520-8
Kniha
Modern Problems Economy, Business and Management: Theory and Practice
Strany od
29
Strany do
35
Strany počet
196
BibTex
@inproceedings{BUT74955, author="Michal {Karas} and Mária {Režňáková}", title="Statistical methods of sales forecasting", booktitle="Modern Problems Economy, Business and Management: Theory and Practice", year="2011", pages="29--35", address="Iževsk, Rusko", isbn="978-5-7526-0520-8" }